Single-case probabilities and the case of Monty Hall

Levy's view

Peter Baumann

pp. 265-273

in: Synthese 162 (2), 2008.

Abstract

In Baumann (American Philosophical Quarterly 42: 71–79, 2005) I argued that reflections on a variation of the Monty Hall problem throws a very general skeptical light on the idea of single-case probabilities. Levy (Synthese, forthcoming, 2007) puts forward some interesting objections which I answer here.